PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x160D650C8BEC05089198c8A31b4053Cd08243C5a-1774839038181

0x160d650c8bec05089198c8a31b4053cd08243c5a

Realised P&L
$-30.19
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$0.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1580.043$0.64$1.73
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$0.78
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$0.80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET · Down0.2680.000$0.00$53.63
Ethereum Up or Down on April 4? · Down0.4700.000$0.00$2.35
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31? · No0.2670.000$0.00$58.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.3860.000$0.00$1.52
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? · Yes0.3150.000$0.00$3.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on April 5? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$5.10
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.0040.000$0.00$0.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on March 31? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$108.01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 00:36Will NVIDIA reach $228 in April?SELL0.219$1.09
04-17 18:05Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.008$0.35
04-17 18:04Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?SELL0.54$5.40
04-16 10:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?SELL0.003$0.03
04-15 19:58Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?SELL0.43$2.15
04-14 13:11Will Solana reach $100 in April?SELL0.21$1.26
04-12 11:13Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?SELL0.47$2.35
04-10 09:58Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?SELL0.51$2.55
04-08 01:26Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.61$3.05
04-05 23:40Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?SELL0.182$1.82
04-05 21:58Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.158$2.37
04-05 19:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 6?SELL0.001$0.01
04-05 18:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?SELL0.35$1.75
04-05 18:14Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.046$1.84
04-03 15:45XRP Up or Down on April 3?SELL0.99$0.99