0x160Ca9e72C2ef4B1B319B8f039E75A4434FF8e91-1739836307960
0x160ca9e72c2ef4b1b319b8f039e75a4434ff8e91
- Realised P&L
- $-415.30
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $34.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.28at 0.021Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$22.87at 0.161Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
- +$-1.00at 0.250Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$-4.34at 0.280Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$-91.70at 0.047Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 00:41 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999971 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 16:45 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.2013422789 | $50.00 |
| 04-23 12:26 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999939 | $3.00 |
| 03-19 23:50 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 03-19 23:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 03-12 00:23 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 18:55 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.0596069507 | $50.00 |
| 03-11 18:28 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.0377975318 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 20:24 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 03:27 | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.0246541516 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 03:27 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.0459999971 | $15.00 |
| 03-06 03:57 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 19:01 | Will Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1) | BUY | 0.2091983112 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 17:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.533 | $30.39 |
| 02-28 14:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.3670744417 | $73.97 |