PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x160Ca9e72C2ef4B1B319B8f039E75A4434FF8e91-1739836307960

0x160ca9e72c2ef4b1b319b8f039e75a4434ff8e91

Realised P&L
$-415.30
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$34.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · Yes0.1920.125$34.45$18.55
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$21.00
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$83.99
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$18.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$25.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$10.00
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$4.00
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1) · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$25.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 00:41No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?BUY0.1099999971$3.00
09-05 16:45No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?BUY0.2013422789$50.00
04-23 12:26Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999939$3.00
03-19 23:50Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.008$1.00
03-19 23:50Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.1$30.00
03-12 00:23Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.0279999946$5.00
03-11 18:55Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.0596069507$50.00
03-11 18:28Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.0377975318$3.00
03-09 20:24Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.0369999965$10.00
03-09 03:27José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?BUY0.0246541516$5.00
03-09 03:27Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.0459999971$15.00
03-06 03:57US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.1099999962$25.00
02-28 19:01Will Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1)BUY0.2091983112$25.00
02-28 17:26Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.533$30.39
02-28 14:22Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.3670744417$73.97