PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x16076275719AFB16F413dcdd1f74155a4E1249f7-1770125533103

0x16076275719afb16f413dcdd1f74155a4e1249f7

Realised P&L
$3.45
Volume
$40.6k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$8.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 17:44Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 15?BUY0.45$2.91
10-14 13:51Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 15?BUY0.45$2.91
10-14 10:02Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?BUY0.51$2.92
10-14 07:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.52$2.92
10-06 08:35Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7?BUY0.45$2.91
10-06 07:21Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 7?BUY0.5$2.92
10-06 07:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.47$2.91
10-06 07:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.47$2.91
10-05 08:12Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 6?BUY0.5$1.00
02-28 22:10Khamenei seen in public by March 7?BUY0.04$1.00
02-28 22:05Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.034$1.02
02-27 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.02$0.50
02-27 13:25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.29$2.84
02-27 13:23Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.23$2.26
02-27 12:32Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.25$3.90