nilomassa
0x16009d20a216235d5ca742d4046391c7fe55aca1
- Realised P&L
- $-9.4k
- Volume
- $183.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.634 | 0.793 | $1.2k | +$248.13 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.678 | 0.769 | $1.1k | +$133.11 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.39 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Madrid Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockx · Brandon Nakashima | 0.591 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$778.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$957.01at 0.547Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$859.53at 0.785Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
- +$670.43at 0.605Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud
- +$538.42at 0.526Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$0.16at 0.206Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 03:23 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.677725417 | $988.37 |
| 08-27 00:51 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7099997584 | $2.38 |
| 08-26 18:55 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.6341771793 | $986.55 |
| 07-18 22:49 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999404 | $2.20 |
| 07-14 19:40 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2389999835 | $14.39 |
| 06-27 03:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1629998769 | $1.07 |
| 06-23 04:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1369999917 | $12.03 |
| 06-22 17:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1339999922 | $13.66 |
| 06-22 17:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $14.44 |
| 06-22 17:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1349998941 | $1.09 |
| 06-17 13:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999896 | $13.56 |
| 06-17 02:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1147111401 | $2.2k |
| 06-17 02:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.184 | $2.4k |
| 06-11 04:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999899 | $11.74 |
| 06-11 04:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999999 | $2.1k |