XYZ37
0x15ffc674cfe64d16a21fe2ac6be0c850420dbb52
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $339.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$835.90at 0.580Will Eric Adams drop out?
- +$620.59at 0.210Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$546.24at 0.535Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$371.25at 0.063Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$369.92at 0.765Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:12 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $130.90 |
| 09-13 14:54 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.60 |
| 09-13 14:42 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $19.55 |
| 09-13 13:13 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1682614743 | $29.04 |
| 09-13 13:10 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1587953599 | $127.03 |
| 09-12 22:30 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.25 |
| 09-12 21:07 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $14.57 |
| 09-12 21:06 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.12 |
| 09-12 21:06 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.159599792 | $79.80 |
| 09-10 14:39 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $222.20 |
| 09-10 14:39 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $20.23 |
| 09-06 19:16 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 09-06 18:45 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1712552301 | $81.86 |
| 09-06 16:07 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.58 |
| 09-06 15:40 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1744467297 | $42.41 |