PolyBot

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Traders

XYZ37

0x15ffc674cfe64d16a21fe2ac6be0c850420dbb52

Realised P&L
$-8.5k
Volume
$339.3k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3050.130$2.8k$3.7k
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.5610.895$895.00+$333.56
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.2200.075$58.61$113.32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1900.030$30.50$159.50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.040$27.65$161.35
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1600.011$21.00$299.00
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.2200.003$3.00$217.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$330.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$876.96
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No0.1700.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3980.000$0.00$1.7k
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3300.000$0.00$1.5k
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3390.000$0.00$338.52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$15.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 20:12Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.17$130.90
09-13 14:54Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.17$13.60
09-13 14:42Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.17$19.55
09-13 13:13Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1682614743$29.04
09-13 13:10Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1587953599$127.03
09-12 22:30Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.15$8.25
09-12 21:07Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.17$14.57
09-12 21:06Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.15$1.12
09-12 21:06Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.159599792$79.80
09-10 14:39Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.18$222.20
09-10 14:39Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.17$20.23
09-06 19:16Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.19$0.95
09-06 18:45Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1712552301$81.86
09-06 16:07Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.19$3.58
09-06 15:40Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1744467297$42.41