StanWay15
0x15fadab34b644135991b1591374463d9d1d459db
- Realised P&L
- $-290.43
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $14.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.91at 0.607Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$122.00at 0.805Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
- +$97.94at 0.607Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$91.59at 0.437Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$87.54at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 21:07 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:07 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 21:06 | Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 21:06 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 21:06 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 09:00 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 08:58 | Will Serbia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:54 | Will Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 08:54 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 08:54 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 08:53 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 08:53 | Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3299999761 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 08:52 | Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 13:40 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 13:40 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |