amar0705
0x15ed633c08c119b1ab5f62cd23aeb599b89f0d9a
- Realised P&L
- $-230.05
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $5.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.33at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 22?
- +$24.89at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 10?
- +$22.31at 0.464Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 31?
- +$18.28at 0.826Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 30?
- +$17.54at 0.538Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.5654024851 | $10.47 |
| 09-15 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.2261003507 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.0667877194 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.0343811386 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on September 14? | BUY | 0.0280552127 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.1577314682 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.1577726192 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on September 12? | BUY | 0.0153789425 | $0.99 |