PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nasimnademi

0x15ec1e5165846e73c582335062e6c0203b7a5acf

Realised P&L
$-17.46
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
365
Open portfolio
$1.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded365
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.0910.135$1.49+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27? · Yes0.0020.001$0.24−$0.76
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 26? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.29
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 1 IR Iran? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Algeria? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 19:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.0909090909$1.00
09-26 18:57Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 27?BUY0.002118128$1.00
09-26 17:12Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Spain?SELL0.033$0.94
09-26 17:12Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0349999995$1.00
09-26 08:06Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 26?BUY0.1079999914$1.00
09-26 08:03Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.0095941667$1.00
07-18 21:22Exact Score: France 1 - 3 England?BUY0.1289999359$1.50
07-18 21:19Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?BUY0.1149999005$1.00
07-18 21:13Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?SELL0.026$0.90
07-18 21:12Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.08$0.80
07-16 19:28Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?BUY0.05$1.00
07-16 19:26Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-16 19:25Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-16 19:24Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-16 19:23Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.0379999641$1.00