DFHG4
0x15eb8f1b9821610cb95a7a8af3de775de2c4980d
- Realised P&L
- $732.51
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $43.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.48at 0.002Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$282.08at 0.001Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$90.65at 0.005Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$33.70at 0.001Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$17.62at 0.001Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:43 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 17:42 | Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 17:42 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 17:41 | Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:20 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-06 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 06:51 | Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 06:51 | Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |