0x15ea179de35b47eabef804d275c4e4d72dd4babe
- Realised P&L
- $3.72
- Volume
- $247.89
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $9.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.545 | $4.91 | +$0.32 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.570 | 0.565 | $4.52 | −$0.04 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.13at 0.487Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
- +$4.93at 0.507Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
- +$4.52at 0.497St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
- +$4.07at 0.548Bills vs. Texans
- +$4.07at 0.548Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:25 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 09-15 23:26 | Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 09-15 15:01 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.59 |
| 09-14 22:38 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.66 | $4.62 |
| 09-14 07:53 | Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 09-13 04:03 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 09-12 22:25 | Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 09-10 10:21 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 09-09 21:18 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 09-09 20:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 09-09 16:02 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D | BUY | 0.72 | $4.32 |
| 09-09 08:04 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $4.32 |
| 09-04 17:57 | Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.61 | $4.27 |
| 09-01 09:49 | US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Taylah Preston | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-31 06:18 | Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |