PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x15e77d1ee3d905e3a401dcfff23c5a9651c13226

0x15e77d1ee3d905e3a401dcfff23c5a9651c13226

Realised P&L
$-6.25
Volume
$249.12
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$1.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.3290.280$0.85−$0.15
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · No0.6400.510$0.80−$0.20
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.8100.165$0.20−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:38Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.64$1.00
10-14 21:00Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.3289999651$1.00
10-13 23:17Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-13 15:01Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-09 05:30Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.6619995697$1.00
10-07 08:26Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-07 00:26Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-02 22:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-02 14:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-02 06:22Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-24 14:56Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.7039998536$1.00
09-18 15:19Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-13 04:10Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-08 17:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-08 09:36Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.32$2.00