windyboy
0x15e68b14c299519423ccbda1d1368114cb1b5b87
- Realised P&L
- $5.00
- Volume
- $739.34
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $565.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 15? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $306.07 | +$6.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 16? · No | 0.980 | 0.955 | $77.96 | −$2.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 16? · No | 0.980 | 0.995 | $60.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $50.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 16? · No | 0.947 | 0.775 | $40.93 | −$9.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 16? · No | 0.954 | 0.925 | $29.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.01at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 15?
- +$0.88at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 15?
- +$0.45at 0.985Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 15?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $60.00 |
| 09-15 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9468451116 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9536423824 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9777267826 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9405940547 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9850697218 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.997002991 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9844216022 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $30.00 |