0x15d68d22342f1212d409b91c7bdfd94c27e4ca5b
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $320.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,721
- Open portfolio
- $106.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,721
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET · Up | 0.994 | 1.000 | $86.14 | +$0.47 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET · Up | 0.990 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.72at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
- +$72.56at 0.745Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$60.68at 0.696Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$21.90at 0.986Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?
- +$20.33at 0.959Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.994 | $85.66 |
| 09-18 03:33 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 03:14 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.39 |
| 09-18 03:10 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $31.66 |
| 09-18 03:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $0.64 |
| 09-18 02:58 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 02:57 | HYPE Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.98608 | $9.86 |
| 09-18 02:51 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $55.31 |
| 09-18 02:51 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 02:50 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-18 02:33 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 02:33 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-18 02:28 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 02:18 | BNB Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |