0x15d68d22342f1212d409b91c7bdfd94c27e4ca5b
0x15d68d22342f1212d409b91c7bdfd94c27e4ca5b
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $368.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,442
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,442
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.72at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
- +$72.56at 0.745Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$60.68at 0.696Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$21.90at 0.986Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?
- +$20.33at 0.959Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 08:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $39.18 |
| 11-02 08:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 11-02 08:39 | HYPE Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 11-02 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.935 | $7.93 |
| 11-02 08:34 | HYPE Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 11-02 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.941 | $1.43 |
| 11-02 08:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.932 | $9.32 |
| 11-02 08:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 11-02 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.966 | $4.83 |
| 11-02 06:40 | HYPE Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 11-02 04:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 11-02 03:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 11-02 03:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 11-02 03:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 11-02 03:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.982 | $14.73 |