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Traders

cfk131419

0x15d5d2e79ae023619cd9c332b4afd280295e234e

Realised P&L
$45.34
Volume
$55.2k
Markets traded
746
Open portfolio
$26.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded746
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:08Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.15$1.50
08-04 14:58Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?SELL0.05$1.50
08-04 14:57Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5?BUY0.06$1.80
08-04 14:36Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.06$3.00
08-04 14:25Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.04$1.16
08-04 06:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.22$1.10
08-04 06:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.004$0.20
08-04 04:39Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5?BUY0.08$3.00
08-04 04:37Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?BUY0.28$5.60
08-03 06:36Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3?SELL0.0123621449$0.62
08-03 05:41Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?SELL0.0463636364$1.02
08-03 05:28Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4?SELL0.05$3.00
08-03 05:05Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.1435572595$8.61
08-03 04:21Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3?SELL0.05$0.23
08-03 02:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.04$1.00