cfk131419
0x15d5d2e79ae023619cd9c332b4afd280295e234e
- Realised P&L
- $45.34
- Volume
- $55.2k
- Markets traded
- 746
- Open portfolio
- $26.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded746
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.92at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?
- +$62.70at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?
- +$62.67at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
- +$48.80at 0.024Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?
- +$44.03at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.16 |
| 08-04 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-03 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0123621449 | $0.62 |
| 08-03 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0463636364 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1435572595 | $8.61 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.23 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |