PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15d368a75e5645c003a624f6f567a6a049ce7d1a-1792328635986

0x15d368a75e5645c003a624f6f567a6a049ce7d1a

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$33.7k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar16.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? · Yes0.0850.951$10.0k+$9.1k
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? · No0.9730.985$178.81+$2.12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18? · Yes0.0040.024$78.81+$66.36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18? · Yes0.0030.006$16.25+$8.76

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.974$22.04
10-18 23:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.9726919932$154.65
10-18 23:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?BUY0.0087392221$7.46
10-18 23:13Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?SELL0.4963703704$134.02
10-18 23:12Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?SELL0.484247992$243.58
10-18 23:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?SELL0.484$84.70
10-18 23:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?SELL0.500435048$143.50
10-18 23:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?SELL0.5018697518$268.95
10-18 23:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?SELL0.50088704$250.44
10-18 23:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?SELL0.424095039$178.49
10-18 19:26Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.158$31.60
10-18 19:24Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.1435351612$73.13
10-18 19:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?BUY0.003$0.25
10-18 18:34Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?BUY0.1499227$59.97
10-18 18:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?BUY0.11$13.64