Philemonfgn
0x15ccb4a5228382fbdeb66ab94e791d8b2ee8f871
- Realised P&L
- $2.01
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $29.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · KT Rolster Challengers | 0.800 | 0.795 | $19.88 | −$0.13 |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.660 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$3.40 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.46 |
| Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · T1 | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.08 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.68 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.87at 0.500Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$426.20at 0.500Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$288.67at 0.500Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$286.30at 0.500Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$166.30at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:09 | LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 06:58 | Commanders vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-07 08:05 | Will FC Voluntari vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw? | BUY | 0.68 | $19.18 |
| 08-07 12:07 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.55 | $10.12 |
| 07-16 02:18 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | BUY | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 07-02 08:25 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $24.15 |
| 06-22 09:51 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.33 | $18.68 |
| 06-08 08:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.00 |
| 06-08 08:12 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $867.12 |
| 06-08 08:12 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.60 |
| 06-08 08:12 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $435.00 |
| 06-08 08:11 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $218.78 |
| 06-08 08:11 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $433.00 |
| 06-08 08:10 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $656.33 |
| 06-08 08:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |