PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15cc67299AEA30744b2d3F968136D51cC66c279C-1771564288018

0x15cc67299aea30744b2d3f968136d51cc66c279c

Realised P&L
$-48.68
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$4.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3810.042$3.31−$26.69
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1300.036$1.40−$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.2550.000$0.00−$100.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down0.2940.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.1660.000$0.00−$11.11
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down0.3110.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.6150.000$0.00−$20.00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$60.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.2510.000$0.00−$20.00
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$30.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.1290.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down0.2290.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.3630.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.2920.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.4870.000$0.00−$31.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 16:43Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
02-25 10:18Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.2912621181$9.79
02-25 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.7352283666$29.43
02-24 23:31Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.3399999912$19.50
02-24 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.2487562189$19.65
02-24 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.4997427774$96.88
02-24 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.2526724962$98.22
02-24 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.6430944507$97.37
02-24 12:56Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.3581889944$97.36
02-23 18:43Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.0628287231$9.98
02-23 17:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.3899999967$29.15
02-22 19:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.3622715363$29.20
02-22 19:49Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.6206201029$14.58
02-22 19:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.2639296055$9.81
02-22 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSELL0.99$89.33