PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15CAc85079C46854B5fCb2ee06874459f6E1C0dB-1772316450342

0x15cac85079c46854b5fcb2ee06874459f6e1c0db

Realised P&L
$-14.85
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$5.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? · Yes0.8500.875$5.15+$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.3640.000$0.00$3.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.3470.000$0.00$9.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.1010.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down0.2650.000$0.00$12.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 08:01Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.997$1.28
06-10 08:01Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.91$1.10
05-08 17:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSELL0.53$3.12
05-08 17:40Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.5099999983$3.00
05-08 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
05-08 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
05-08 17:33Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.996$2.11
05-08 17:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.998$1.36
04-19 21:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSELL0.99$6.68
04-19 21:34Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.8799999413$5.90
04-19 21:08Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.36$3.68
04-19 21:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.1899998784$0.88
04-19 21:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.3299997822$0.90
04-19 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.4$0.91
04-19 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL0.99$1.43