PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x15c8906807d2be08d7d2c823acdcda52c2a662ae

0x15c8906807d2be08d7d2c823acdcda52c2a662ae

Realised P&L
$-14.97
Volume
$745.21
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$14.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Boy0.5100.305$5.98−$4.02
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6800.590$4.34−$0.66
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.305$1.99−$1.01
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes0.2700.100$0.74−$1.26
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1400.038$0.54−$1.46
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes0.3300.080$0.48−$1.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:59Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
10-16 18:58Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027?BUY0.7199999942$10.00
10-16 18:55Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
08-21 13:31Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999264$3.00
07-20 12:32Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 21?BUY0.02$1.00
07-20 11:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-20 11:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-20 10:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
07-19 16:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-19 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-19 16:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-19 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-19 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
07-19 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-19 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
Trader 0x15c8906807d2be08d7d2c823acdcda52c2a662ae · PolyBot Pro