rocroi
0x15c81b35df1404e5f4bacd63dcfa944b70fdd2d0
- Realised P&L
- $149.2k
- Volume
- $9.72M
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $13.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.001 | $13.18 | −$1.3k |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.6kat 0.199Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.9kat 0.696Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$43.3kat 0.586Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)
- +$38.4kat 0.520Spread: Germany (-1.5)
- +$38.0kat 0.540Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:35 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.2k |
| 09-25 19:34 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $3.7k |
| 09-25 18:34 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $2.4k |
| 09-25 18:30 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.8k |
| 09-25 18:29 | Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $14.2k |
| 09-22 14:54 | Harvard vs. Brown: O/U 61.5 | BUY | 0.6551722999 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 10:25 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0446207088 | $292.92 |
| 09-09 10:25 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0492686792 | $975.74 |
| 09-05 14:00 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.52 | $48.71 |
| 07-28 08:08 | ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 07-21 17:14 | Will Viborg FF win on 2026-07-24? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-21 16:03 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royals | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-21 16:02 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royals | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 07-13 13:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209 | $13.5k |
| 07-12 17:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.201 | $40.4k |