PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

marvin51-426

0x15c371857744227ef9a1e56894744f85fe40748b

Realised P&L
$74.84
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$23.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Colts vs. Commanders · Colts0.6400.645$23.70+$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:48Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989999436$13.24
01-30 17:52Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?BUY0.999$17.60
01-30 12:57Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?BUY0.999$17.19
01-30 12:22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9979999929$66.25
12-30 12:14Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?BUY0.9989999706$19.41
12-30 00:41Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9979999594$17.29
12-29 23:22Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?BUY0.998$13.22
12-29 23:00Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?BUY0.998$35.19
12-29 20:18Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?BUY0.9989999736$29.20
10-30 18:10Will Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$35.20
10-30 17:59Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.9849999999$35.34
09-29 18:43Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$10.81
09-29 14:16Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9939999282$13.42
09-29 03:17Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September?BUY0.999$15.83
09-29 00:23Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?BUY0.999$11.26