Stbn
0x15bfa8823ed1feff442e8b281de8608c828f1f4d
- Realised P&L
- $-37.05
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $91.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$487.65at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
- +$118.80at 0.716Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 8 at 5 PM ET?
- +$112.14at 0.740Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on June 11 at 5 PM ET?
- +$87.98at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8?
- +$81.68at 0.863Solana Up or Down on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 19:39 | Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9039999986 | $21.00 |
| 08-24 19:38 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $18.16 |
| 07-15 20:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $17.68 |
| 07-11 17:00 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 07-07 16:44 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 16:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 21:20 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.73 | $6.84 |
| 07-06 13:38 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 10:52 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.062 | $2.56 |
| 06-30 22:42 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0307867895 | $29.31 |
| 06-29 13:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.171 | $2.34 |
| 06-21 08:34 | Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 08:31 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 08:25 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.059 | $2.84 |