PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Stbn

0x15bfa8823ed1feff442e8b281de8608c828f1f4d

Realised P&L
$-37.05
Volume
$39.8k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$91.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.954$58.14+$8.14
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9040.976$22.67+$1.67
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.8500.875$10.29+$0.29
Will Solana reach $150 in January? · Yes0.5910.000$0.00$60.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame · Adolfo Vallejo0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11? · Down0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down on July 14? · Down0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$60.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 19:39Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.9039999986$21.00
08-24 19:38Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.85$10.00
07-15 20:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$18.16
07-15 20:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.389$17.68
07-11 17:00Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$75.00
07-07 16:44Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
07-07 16:44Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.229999916$2.00
07-06 21:20Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.73$6.84
07-06 13:38Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.32$3.00
07-03 10:52Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.062$2.56
06-30 22:42Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0307867895$29.31
06-29 13:21Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?SELL0.171$2.34
06-21 08:34Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
06-21 08:31Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6799999946$20.00
06-21 08:25Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.059$2.84