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Traders

defeatatmarengo

0x15bbce8ac228aac2d406ede4d54fc62de66922b3

Realised P&L
$23.56
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8070.890$547.00+$51.02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.865$305.74$5.30
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.9250.930$200.97+$0.97
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3130.298$190.60$9.40
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9640.977$172.81+$2.27
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.9100.890$156.50$3.50
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.8900.955$152.80+$10.40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.255$98.08$1.92
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.6900.735$73.50+$4.50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0350.033$23.44$1.65
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0490.040$19.95$4.80
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes0.8900.845$4.22$0.23
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · No0.8100.850$2.10+$0.10
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.8600.855$0.99$0.01
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.8100.800$0.96$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:40Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8599999993$92.48
08-03 18:40Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.79$93.85
08-03 18:39Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8599999891$6.30
08-03 16:46Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.994$1.00
08-03 16:43Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.9105983744$150.00
08-03 16:29Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.9254960731$200.00
08-03 16:27Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.9$10.00
08-03 16:26Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.984$362.08
08-02 22:13Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.89$142.40
08-02 22:12Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?SELL0.0151433333$4.54
08-02 09:25Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.094$14.10
08-02 09:25Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.093$6.84
07-30 17:33Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?BUY0.69$69.00
07-30 17:04Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?BUY0.89$4.45
07-30 17:02Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.81$97.20