0x15ba6a49256ece29d22ad7529b00bd3c167a30fe
0x15ba6a49256ece29d22ad7529b00bd3c167a30fe
- Realised P&L
- $-120.31
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $34.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chig Okonkwo score the first touchdown? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.215 | $16.82 | −$22.30 |
| Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.554 | $9.66 | +$0.95 |
| Dallas Goedert: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.415 | $4.81 | −$0.87 |
| Antonio Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.180 | $2.59 | −$4.60 |
| Antonio Williams: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.350 | 0.045 | $0.72 | −$4.87 |
| Spread: Iowa (-7.5) · Wisconsin | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.87 |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame · Lorenzo Sonego | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.32 |
| 1H Spread: UCLA (-9.5) · UCLA | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.73 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins · Dolphins | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.29 |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) · Knicks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.81 |
| Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira · Tiago Pereira | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Packers vs. Lions · Packers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.58 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.53 |
| Giants vs. Texans · Texans | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Chiefs | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.00at 0.297Spread: Texas (-7.5)
- +$15.94at 0.225Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
- +$14.26at 0.500Bengals vs. Ravens
- +$12.29at 0.500Set Handicap: Daniel Milavsky (-1.5) vs Govind Nanda (+1.5)
- +$10.70at 0.357Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:23 | Antonio Williams: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.35 | $5.59 |
| 11-02 01:03 | Dallas Goedert: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.4899999888 | $5.68 |
| 11-02 00:38 | Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $16.64 |
| 11-01 23:42 | Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) | BUY | 0.35 | $5.83 |
| 11-01 21:42 | Titans vs. Bengals | SELL | 0.999 | $8.94 |
| 11-01 20:53 | Spread: Jets (-1.5) | SELL | 0.97 | $11.41 |
| 11-01 20:52 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers | SELL | 0.999 | $10.70 |
| 10-31 18:45 | Spread: Ole Miss (-10.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $5.79 |
| 10-31 18:39 | Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $5.86 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Spread: Iowa (-7.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $5.87 |
| 10-31 02:22 | Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $4.87 |
| 10-30 23:30 | Spread: Baylor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.90 |
| 10-26 02:42 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $4.77 |
| 10-26 00:43 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.80 |
| 10-25 20:48 | Spread: Lions (-7.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.90 |