PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

64hy6c

0x15b67207ba758667b069ab9c0a334a07b0fcc48d

Realised P&L
$-5.98
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$3.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6950.685$3.91−$0.05
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.2490.000$0.00−$1.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$2.75
Jets vs. Sharks · Jets0.5200.000$0.00−$2.73
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.3990.000$0.00−$2.95
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? · No0.8400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00−$2.27
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.31
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals · Baltimore Orioles0.5600.000$0.00−$2.96
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$11.99
Timberwolves vs. Celtics · Celtics0.8000.000$0.00−$2.60
Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$2.79
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3200.000$0.00−$2.00
Knicks vs. Raptors · Raptors0.4300.000$0.00−$2.82
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 11:36Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.7099999928$1.96
08-23 10:14Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-23 10:14Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
07-03 17:52Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999725$2.75
06-30 15:54Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.2899999459$2.79
06-27 16:59Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.5799998764$1.69
06-23 14:05Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.6099998708$1.18
06-20 13:14Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.5699999131$2.36
05-15 15:19Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.559999947$2.96
04-16 17:01Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.359999931$1.67
04-15 17:45Red Wings vs. PanthersBUY0.5999999391$1.97
04-02 06:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.2999999339$2.14
03-22 15:51Timberwolves vs. CelticsBUY0.8$2.60
03-21 15:03US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.7899999936$2.48
03-16 15:10Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.339999919$1.93