PolyBot

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Traders

zwk111

0x15b479fc3cc1e53123b701a10b14aa5a5b2b5fc5

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4520.630$1.4k+$385.39
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2460.455$862.18+$395.34
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3210.535$747.59+$299.28
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.700$555.35+$134.61
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7500.920$552.30+$102.30
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1610.262$322.78+$124.07
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.320$249.51+$109.33
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.390$31.62+$13.78
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.5080.000$0.00$60.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 14:01Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.75$450.00
04-13 20:40Hurricanes vs. FlyersBUY0.6$60.00
04-13 17:46Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.22$17.84
04-12 19:55Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.15$15.00
04-12 19:52Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.508$11.18
04-10 18:33Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.34$17.00
04-10 11:36Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.28$4.20
04-09 20:22Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.28$38.64
04-09 20:21Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.2786323463$55.80
04-09 19:06Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.18$18.00
04-09 13:40Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.52$55.36
04-09 10:59Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.52$204.88
04-09 10:57Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.51$252.51
04-09 10:16Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.36$30.24
04-05 21:48Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.68$68.00