PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zwdddr04

0x15afffb1908337a331fa7f902b64df37e551ad0b

Realised P&L
$-153.32
Volume
$37.0k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$33.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8? · No0.9630.994$33.00+$1.00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9690.850$0.88−$0.12
Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics0.4200.000$0.00−$100.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:20Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 8?BUY0.9633067188$32.00
10-04 01:45Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 3?BUY0.994$32.00
09-16 02:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16?BUY0.9929999403$10.10
09-09 04:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?BUY0.9869999404$10.10
09-08 11:42Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?BUY0.9819999986$10.00
09-08 02:13Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7?BUY0.9889999999$9.80
08-19 21:12Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?SELL0.2109034842$10.53
08-18 00:25Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?BUY0.9709999929$48.50
08-17 13:11Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17?BUY0.999$48.40
08-16 13:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16?BUY0.996$48.10
08-05 01:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?BUY0.9739999812$47.00
08-02 01:33Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.992$41.00
07-30 01:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?BUY0.9708156633$40.00
07-29 01:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?BUY0.9819999894$39.20
07-27 05:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27?BUY0.996$38.84