chenjiajie
0x15aed5a3af867daab90c9b2d9111006a3b1f49fe
- Realised P&L
- $-153.75
- Volume
- $335.10
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-45.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.925 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.990Will Solana reach $160 in March?
- +$0.08at 0.970Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
- +$0.07at 0.970Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
- +$0.05at 0.970Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $412,000 by February 1?
- +$0.05at 0.990Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 05:18 | Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.51 | $148.50 |
| 03-05 14:43 | Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 14:43 | Will Solana reach $160 in March? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.00 |
| 03-05 14:42 | Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 02-22 21:14 | Will Solana reach $130 in February? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $5.24 |
| 02-22 21:14 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in February? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 21:12 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 11:06 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.8899999926 | $1.20 |
| 01-29 11:06 | Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $412,000 by February 1? | BUY | 0.9699995892 | $1.70 |
| 01-29 11:06 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.50 |
| 01-29 11:05 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | BUY | 0.9699999956 | $2.20 |
| 01-29 11:05 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $1.90 |