PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chenjiajie

0x15aed5a3af867daab90c9b2d9111006a3b1f49fe

Realised P&L
$-153.75
Volume
$335.10
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$2.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-45.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes0.9200.925$2.01+$0.01
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00$1.20
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays0.5310.000$0.00$156.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 05:18Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.51$148.50
03-05 14:43Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
03-05 14:43Will Solana reach $160 in March?BUY0.99$9.00
03-05 14:42Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.99$3.00
02-22 21:14Will Solana reach $130 in February?BUY0.9929999998$5.24
02-22 21:14Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?BUY0.996$5.00
02-22 21:12Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?BUY0.99$5.00
01-29 11:06Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.8899999926$1.20
01-29 11:06Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $412,000 by February 1?BUY0.9699995892$1.70
01-29 11:06Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?BUY0.97$2.50
01-29 11:05Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?BUY0.9699999956$2.20
01-29 11:05Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.990999999$1.90