PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15AD4796ca7Ff55869BdB665E569FcBcA8b452eb-1767511485388

0x15ad4796ca7ff55869bdb665e569fcbca8b452eb

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$159.4k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$39.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$37.99$417.93
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0690.097$1.40+$0.40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3030.000$0.00$639.15
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$15.00
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Morocco0.2300.000$0.00$101.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 21:53Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0689999387$1.00
07-15 21:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199999996$239.15
07-15 21:46Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.999$238.89
07-15 21:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199999989$200.00
07-15 21:11Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.005$119.98
07-14 21:18Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4599999983$100.00
07-14 21:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.271$207.67
07-14 21:17Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4599999844$10.00
07-09 21:19Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.3399999855$15.00
07-09 21:16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.04$15.09
07-09 20:01France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2249998481$1.00
07-08 17:13Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.256$196.18
07-08 16:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999993$200.00
07-06 20:39Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
07-06 20:39Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.5299999986$50.00