perseus0
0x15aa2e46bd1b338c280e8fe579e746450024e5fd
- Realised P&L
- $25.38
- Volume
- $929.23
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $78.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.385 | $17.89 | −$2.11 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.440 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $9.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $9.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $9.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.705 | $9.03 | +$0.06 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.665 | $7.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.190 | $2.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.160 | $2.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.98at 0.310Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$10.15at 0.502Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$8.16at 0.222Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?
- +$-5.30at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$-10.61at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:05 | Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 00:05 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 00:04 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 00:02 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 00:02 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 23:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | SELL | 0.41 | $19.52 |
| 10-14 08:01 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.6499999861 | $7.00 |
| 10-14 08:00 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 08:00 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 07:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 07:51 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.6999999844 | $8.97 |
| 10-14 07:49 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |