0x15a9f850834f8c766a924a26d5dacecf904a7a8e
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $277.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? · No | 0.971 | 0.989 | $57.02 | +$1.04 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.984 | $56.26 | +$0.89 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.977 | 0.980 | $54.79 | +$0.17 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.950 | $54.78 | +$0.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · No | 0.981 | 0.986 | $54.73 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.71at 0.908Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.975Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
- +$0.82at 0.984Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
- +$0.53at 0.950Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?
- +$0.31at 0.984Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 08:52 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |