PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15a9f850834f8c766a924a26d5dacecf904a7a8e

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$277.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? · No0.9710.989$57.02+$1.04
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No0.9680.984$56.26+$0.89
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes0.9770.980$54.79+$0.17
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.9500.950$54.78+$0.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · No0.9810.986$54.73+$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 08:52Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.997$19.94