PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC848c13AC00012E6CB021A468DbB1Ed34442F85C-1775797878551

0x15a8974ed941e956be29e4f8bbb0ec68062cd981

Realised P&L
$140.96
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$12.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1000.125$6.25+$1.25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1400.410$5.86+$3.86
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$2.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$20.00
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions · Zhejiang Lions0.2500.000$0.00$26.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00$46.00
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5 · Over0.4830.000$0.00$15.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? · Up0.0620.000$0.00$4.44
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$2.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3830.000$0.00$15.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$3.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1$5.00
09-12 05:12Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4276151376$20.00
09-04 10:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
09-04 10:51Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)BUY0.4199999933$20.00
08-23 13:16Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.5099999911$20.00
07-29 17:10Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?BUY0.0189999908$2.00
07-19 14:05Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999975$49.32
07-19 14:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.424999961$6.00
07-19 14:02Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4249999942$40.00
07-18 23:26Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.0674999938$10.00
07-17 12:07France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.3599999921$20.00
07-14 19:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.234847819$28.18
07-14 14:10France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124999799$10.00
07-14 03:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2119999899$16.00
07-12 04:43France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999947$20.00