0xC848c13AC00012E6CB021A468DbB1Ed34442F85C-1775797878551
0x15a8974ed941e956be29e4f8bbb0ec68062cd981
- Realised P&L
- $140.96
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $12.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.05at 0.187Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$96.45at 0.044Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
- +$63.04at 0.196Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$42.14at 0.423France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$34.92at 0.371France vs. England: Team to Win
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 05:12 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4276151376 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 10:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 10:51 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 13:16 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 17:10 | Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.0189999908 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 14:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999975 | $49.32 |
| 07-19 14:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.424999961 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 14:02 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4249999942 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 23:26 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0674999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 12:07 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 19:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.234847819 | $28.18 |
| 07-14 14:10 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4124999799 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 03:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2119999899 | $16.00 |
| 07-12 04:43 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |