Tsoula
0x15a1b69d4f48c017af19a49b6b8e9b97d6e55ef3
- Realised P&L
- $150.01
- Volume
- $263.5k
- Markets traded
- 9,115
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,115
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.29at 0.879Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?
- +$41.62at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?
- +$34.83at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 19?
- +$33.33at 0.927Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?
- +$28.63at 0.936Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9980261088 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998084739 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $5.00 |