PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dos4

0x15a09ad61f89df3e9a823c27c3af7cafa302ea83

Realised P&L
$6.27
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$57.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:35Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
11-01 10:35Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099998509$2.00
10-31 17:432026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$2.00
10-29 14:46Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
10-29 14:45New Anthropic model released before IPO?BUY0.95$1.00
10-29 14:44Will Trump say "Communist" or "Socialist" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?BUY0.77$1.00
10-29 14:44Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-29 14:44Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.77$1.00
10-29 14:44Will Katherine Clark be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.16$1.00
10-29 14:43Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-29 14:43Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-29 14:43Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-29 14:43Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Texas?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-29 14:42Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-29 14:38Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Republicans win Texas?BUY0.3399999388$1.00