Dos4
0x15a09ad61f89df3e9a823c27c3af7cafa302ea83
- Realised P&L
- $6.27
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $57.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.61at 0.220Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.15at 0.190Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$2.98at 0.400Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$0.90at 0.532UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:35 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 14:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:45 | New Anthropic model released before IPO? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:44 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Socialist" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:44 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:44 | Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:44 | Will Katherine Clark be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:43 | Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:43 | Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:43 | Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:43 | Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Texas? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 14:42 | Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 14:38 | Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Republicans win Texas? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |