PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCb2c39fEc968a0CFdf986F885fe2C40F44C87302-1769025359418

0x159fc4b8187cbd0cfd88fbaa776fc317053dbefb

Realised P&L
$-11.71
Volume
$189.10
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$37.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · No0.9200.940$33.90+$0.72
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026? · Yes0.3900.335$1.72−$0.28
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · No0.9600.755$0.79−$0.21
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · Yes0.3800.245$0.64−$0.36
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026? · Yes0.3870.060$0.62−$3.38
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · No0.1050.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 14:05Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 10, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
10-06 13:36Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
10-06 08:03Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
10-05 03:08Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.0589999998$5.00
10-04 17:11Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 4, 2026?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
10-04 15:25Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?SELL0.53$5.89
10-04 14:58Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-04 14:44Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?SELL0.46$2.61
10-04 13:15Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.449999964$5.00
10-04 13:14Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.8799998733$5.00
10-04 13:02OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?BUY0.96$1.00
10-04 13:02OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-04 11:57Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.9207919158$3.18
10-04 11:56Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.9199999988$30.00