PolyBot

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Traders

0x159b14a2e6105d92eda841dd94a0af67dcc2d6ea

0x159b14a2e6105d92eda841dd94a0af67dcc2d6ea

Realised P&L
$20.35
Volume
$274.06
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$7.13

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No0.4800.580$1.21+$0.21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No0.7400.790$1.07+$0.07
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.5400.535$0.99−$0.01
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No0.3500.345$0.99−$0.01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · No0.2100.185$0.88−$0.12
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · Yes0.2700.230$0.85−$0.15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes0.2700.200$0.74−$0.26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · No0.2100.085$0.40−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:34WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
11-01 19:31Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
11-01 05:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-30 06:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-29 22:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-29 22:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-29 13:57Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-29 03:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-28 17:08Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-28 09:08Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-28 08:13S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-28 00:04Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-27 15:08Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-27 07:05SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-26 23:03Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00