0x159b14a2e6105d92eda841dd94a0af67dcc2d6ea
0x159b14a2e6105d92eda841dd94a0af67dcc2d6ea
- Realised P&L
- $20.35
- Volume
- $274.06
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $7.13
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.580 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.790 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.345 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · No | 0.210 | 0.185 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.230 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.200 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · No | 0.210 | 0.085 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 06:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 22:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 22:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 17:08 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:08 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:03 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |