PolyBot

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Traders

0x159708ed886bb05603c2c05296ee24007dce5e08

Realised P&L
$-5.13
Volume
$62.76
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$15.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7600.855$2.80+$0.31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.7000.770$2.74+$0.25
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.840$2.68+$0.19
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.2800.280$2.49+$0.00
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.8600.675$1.95$0.54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.265$1.53$0.96
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.335$1.34$0.22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3600.003$0.02$2.47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2500.002$0.01$2.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:16Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8599999586$2.49
08-04 10:14Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.2799999235$2.49
08-04 02:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7599999634$2.49
08-03 18:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6999998032$2.49
08-03 09:59Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.75$2.49
08-02 21:14Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999624$2.49
08-02 07:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999516$2.49
08-01 23:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.25$2.49
08-01 13:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3599999422$2.49
08-01 03:34Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 19:33New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 11:31Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.39$1.56
07-29 16:00Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95