PolyBot

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Traders

0x159708ed886bb05603c2c05296ee24007dce5e08

0x159708ed886bb05603c2c05296ee24007dce5e08

Realised P&L
$-8.59
Volume
$163.79
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$6.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? · Yes0.3100.500$4.02+$1.53
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · Yes0.3800.385$2.52+$0.03
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.3500.023$0.16$2.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 21:42Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?BUY0.3799999756$2.49
09-19 07:36Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$2.49
09-18 02:39Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21?BUY0.3099999639$2.49
09-17 17:43Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999859$2.49
09-17 07:09Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5199999499$2.49
09-16 22:58Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5299999106$2.49
09-15 14:17Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3299999801$2.49
09-12 15:11Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.8$2.49
09-08 06:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6899999335$2.49
09-07 18:07Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7399999584$2.49
09-03 12:33Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $182 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.2599999248$2.49
09-02 05:54Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.8$2.49
09-01 18:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?BUY0.4599999409$2.49
08-19 11:26S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 19?BUY0.3599999422$2.49
08-13 10:40Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.2099999486$2.49