0x159708ed886bb05603c2c05296ee24007dce5e08
0x159708ed886bb05603c2c05296ee24007dce5e08
- Realised P&L
- $-8.59
- Volume
- $163.79
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $6.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.500 | $4.02 | +$1.53 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.385 | $2.52 | +$0.03 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.023 | $0.16 | −$2.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.99at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.87at 0.470Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?
- +$2.25at 0.530Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.640Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
- +$1.12at 0.690US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:42 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? | BUY | 0.3799999756 | $2.49 |
| 09-19 07:36 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.49 |
| 09-18 02:39 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? | BUY | 0.3099999639 | $2.49 |
| 09-17 17:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999859 | $2.49 |
| 09-17 07:09 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999499 | $2.49 |
| 09-16 22:58 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999106 | $2.49 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3299999801 | $2.49 |
| 09-12 15:11 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.49 |
| 09-08 06:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6899999335 | $2.49 |
| 09-07 18:07 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999584 | $2.49 |
| 09-03 12:33 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $182 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999248 | $2.49 |
| 09-02 05:54 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.49 |
| 09-01 18:58 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999409 | $2.49 |
| 08-19 11:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 19? | BUY | 0.3599999422 | $2.49 |
| 08-13 10:40 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999486 | $2.49 |