0x1593e2333e9b5698f8c74f8cf4b56aa31a4da6b7
0x1593e2333e9b5698f8c74f8cf4b56aa31a4da6b7
- Realised P&L
- $18.82
- Volume
- $132.44
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $28.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Oregon (-7.5) · UCLA | 0.410 | 0.981 | $9.34 | +$5.44 |
| Zverev vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.485 | $5.86 | −$0.18 |
| Spread: Kansas State (-3.5) · Houston | 0.770 | 0.991 | $5.01 | +$1.12 |
| Spread: USC (-3.5) · Penn State | 0.500 | 0.605 | $3.90 | +$0.68 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe · Frances Tiafoe | 0.500 | 0.495 | $3.88 | −$0.04 |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) · Indiana | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.20at 0.500Set Handicap: Alex Michelsen (-1.5) vs Botic van de Zandschulp (+1.5)
- +$6.15at 0.740Texas A&M vs. Missouri: 1H O/U 24.5
- +$5.26at 0.500Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin
- +$3.21at 0.756North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 47.5
- +$3.03at 0.500Texas A&M vs. Missouri
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:26 | Spread: Kansas State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.77 | $3.90 |
| 10-10 20:25 | Spread: Oregon (-7.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $3.90 |
| 10-10 17:48 | Spread: Indiana (-7.5) | BUY | 0.17 | $9.52 |
| 10-10 17:48 | North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $9.86 |
| 10-10 17:47 | Texas A&M vs. Missouri: 1H O/U 24.5 | SELL | 0.975 | $25.60 |
| 10-06 16:17 | Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin | SELL | 0.99 | $10.64 |