ffgjh2
0x15924a4045ffbd85775ff0b1ee4107e291735ee4
- Realised P&L
- $8.68
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $32.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No | 0.970 | 0.987 | $32.57 | +$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.21at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.75at 0.950Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 21-27?
- +$1.33at 0.958Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.69at 0.981Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20?
- +$0.58at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:47 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.97 | $32.01 |
| 10-04 15:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $31.58 |
| 10-02 09:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.986 | $31.55 |
| 09-27 01:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.986 | $39.44 |
| 09-18 13:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.98 | $36.26 |
| 09-15 14:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $35.39 |
| 09-13 15:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.64 |
| 09-05 12:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-01 08:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $34.48 |
| 08-31 04:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $33.69 |
| 08-31 03:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.90 |
| 08-29 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 08-28 14:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 08-26 14:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 08-25 14:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 25? | BUY | 0.984 | $31.49 |