PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x158e24a667Ef046a1d6c5b61E5FC891DDFB7216B-1775312110752

0x158e24a667ef046a1d6c5b61e5fc891ddfb7216b

Realised P&L
$765.52
Volume
$51.3k
Markets traded
709
Open portfolio
$209.64

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded709
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · PARIVISION0.7800.755$96.79−$3.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4160.865$83.13+$43.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5700.565$9.91−$0.09
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5400.535$9.91−$0.09
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4200.415$9.88−$0.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Team Spirit0.3800.001$0.01−$9.99
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner · LGD Gaming0.4700.000$0.00−$30.00
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner · Natus Vincere0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Team Yandex0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Conventus Stellarum0.5900.000$0.00−$20.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches · Team Yandex0.7000.000$0.00−$100.00
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Xtreme Gaming0.6000.000$0.00−$100.00
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D · Team Liquid0.3600.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4680.000$0.00−$15.00
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · Team Yandex0.6010.000$0.00−$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 12:46Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
10-10 12:39Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5499999904$20.00
10-10 08:49Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.3799999924$10.00
10-10 08:49Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.7799999995$100.00
10-10 08:37Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-10 08:37Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.539999986$10.00
10-10 08:37Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
10-10 08:36Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.4199999966$10.00
10-09 18:24Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.6199999975$50.00
10-09 17:21Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.73$100.00
10-09 15:37Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.529999998$50.00
10-09 15:34Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.689999999$100.00
10-09 15:29Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.73$100.00
10-09 14:34Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6999999993$100.00
10-09 14:34Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.8499999996$100.00