PolyBot

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Traders

0x158de6cfbbaeafb3fb1b157e0756be855ab51aea

0x158de6cfbbaeafb3fb1b157e0756be855ab51aea

Realised P&L
$-45.07
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$26.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7000.895$12.79+$2.79
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? · Yes0.9300.885$4.76−$0.24
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? · No0.9500.895$4.71−$0.29
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.2640.075$2.84−$7.16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.3200.036$1.13−$8.88
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5850.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$2.46
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2430.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 18:53Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5BUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-07 18:53Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5BUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-07 18:53Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5BUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-07 17:12Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5BUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-07 17:12Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5BUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-07 17:02Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5BUY0.4699999887$5.00
07-05 23:41Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5BUY0.6699999625$5.00
07-05 23:41Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5BUY0.6699999625$5.00
07-05 21:01Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5BUY0.5599999776$5.00
07-05 21:01Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5BUY0.5599999776$5.00
07-03 14:02Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-03 14:02Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-03 14:02Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9399999962$5.00
07-03 13:33Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-03 13:32Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.6699999625$5.00