0x158b5fdda7b58ce6ba521e79b5fdba3ee49877e9
0x158b5fdda7b58ce6ba521e79b5fdba3ee49877e9
- Realised P&L
- $77.12
- Volume
- $164.68
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $45.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar46.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Max Schoenhaus · Matteo Martineau | 0.500 | 0.455 | $45.50 | −$4.50 |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.94 |
| Set Handicap: Jiri Lehecka (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5) · Jiri Lehecka | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.72 |
| Capitals vs. Lightning · Capitals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.51 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.61 |
| San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez · Federico Agustin Gomez | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.64at 0.500Broncos vs. Chargers
- +$38.04at 0.306Steelers vs. Browns
- +$18.94at 0.500Kings vs. Avalanche
- +$17.36at 0.500Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights
- +$17.23at 0.460Rams vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:39 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.3 | $16.45 |
| 09-30 03:14 | Set Handicap: Jiri Lehecka (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-27 17:24 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.4599999925 | $14.68 |
| 09-26 20:48 | Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.5099999869 | $17.46 |
| 09-25 16:04 | San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez | BUY | 0.6099999826 | $9.84 |