PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fgwert

0x15840899fbd7a871b2a0a046dcb3266caa9848e0

Realised P&L
$4.99
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$9.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2800.270$9.64$0.36
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 18:49Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
06-12 08:52Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-11 13:44Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.00
06-11 13:43Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.7$1.00
02-27 12:44More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?BUY0.64$1.00
12-29 13:45Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.985$1.00
10-29 02:22Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
10-29 02:21Democratic sweep?SELL0.82$1.03
09-23 13:31Democratic sweep?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
09-23 13:30Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?SELL0.979$0.98
08-30 21:19Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?BUY0.997$1.00
07-26 16:24Will Metaplanet purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?BUY0.55$1.00
06-28 05:40FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?BUY0.7$1.00
05-25 13:55Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.7969999299$1.00
04-09 05:19Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?BUY0.6799998912$1.00