PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x157b62fc139b1a2618ded36bc0248c61c7537843

Realised P&L
$-14.22
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00$2.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on September 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$0.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$2.63
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.3630.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 19? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.99
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Down0.3730.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.2130.000$0.00$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:00Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 19?BUY0.001$10.00
09-18 16:08Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.001$5.00
09-17 16:02Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?BUY0.001$5.00
09-17 08:05Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on September 17?BUY0.001$5.00
09-17 00:06Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.00
09-15 20:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-15 20:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.2$1.00
09-15 20:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-15 20:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.339999985$5.00
09-15 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSELL0.47$5.59
09-15 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.1$2.00
09-15 20:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSELL0.999$5.04
09-15 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
09-15 20:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
09-15 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSELL0.59$5.00