12xmrbolt
0x15740055904cab8a8b743f2f6f5428122f8764c9
- Realised P&L
- $-10.5k
- Volume
- $2.81M
- Markets traded
- 984
- Open portfolio
- $484.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded984
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.023Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$5.8kat 0.280Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane
- +$5.3kat 0.226Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet
- +$4.5kat 0.100Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$4.4kat 0.537Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:16 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.6309148265 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 15:14 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.7071713114 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 15:12 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.69 | $0.49 |
| 10-31 15:09 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.8217821781 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 15:02 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.6916176471 | $94.06 |
| 10-31 15:01 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.6335282645 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 15:00 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.6170421111 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 15:00 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.619380619 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 15:00 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.5876494008 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:59 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:59 | W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Katherine Sebov | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:50 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:48 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:48 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 14:41 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |