Anarion
0x15740055904cab8a8b743f2f6f5428122f8764c9
- Realised P&L
- $-21.3k
- Volume
- $1.92M
- Markets traded
- 821
- Open portfolio
- $311.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded821
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $311.55 | −$928.84 |
| Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Luca Castagnola · Luca Castagnola | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.00 |
| Biella: Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini · Matthew William Donald | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris · Lloyd Harris | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Guadalajara Open Akron, Qualification: Carole Monnet vs Katrina Scott · Katrina Scott | 0.179 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Como: Duje Ajdukovic vs Jay Clarke · Duje Ajdukovic | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.32 |
| Manacor: Daniel Rincon vs Inaki Montes · Daniel Rincon | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Pablo Varillas · Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$328.00 |
| Cassis: Maxime Janvier vs Oskari Paldanius · Oskari Paldanius | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.023Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$5.8kat 0.280Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane
- +$4.5kat 0.100Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$4.0kat 0.556Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie
- +$3.1kat 0.281Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:02 | Guangzhou (Doubles): Trotter/Uchida vs Bayldon/Kadhe | BUY | 0.45 | $21.15 |
| 09-17 08:46 | Guangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | SELL | 0.8 | $857.14 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Guangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | BUY | 0.6973858028 | $3.0k |
| 09-17 07:40 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.590078002 | $176.00 |
| 09-17 07:37 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6709999996 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 06:47 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6389680643 | $1000.00 |
| 09-17 06:47 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6379999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 06:46 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6379999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 06:46 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6379999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 06:46 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6389999997 | $558.00 |
| 09-17 06:45 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6389999999 | $1.3k |
| 09-17 06:43 | W35 Shenyang: Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai | BUY | 0.6529999989 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi | SELL | 0.632 | $31.60 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi | SELL | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca Curmi | SELL | 0.66 | $99.00 |