Zelayne
0x156acc86844e9d61d8a4f4adb0385ee68450dd4b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $189.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $1.27 | −$38.68 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.28 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$496.95at 0.50676ers vs. Warriors
- +$422.42at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$149.80at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$135.02at 0.850Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$87.36at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 20:47 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0187929412 | $5.67 |
| 04-20 19:22 | Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3555733046 | $36.28 |
| 04-20 03:35 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0228423518 | $5.22 |
| 04-20 03:31 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0192429895 | $6.09 |
| 04-20 03:30 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.20 |
| 04-20 03:30 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.045 | $3.89 |
| 04-16 01:46 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.38 |
| 04-16 01:43 | Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0105705647 | $5.66 |
| 04-16 01:42 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0218578527 | $1.01 |
| 04-16 01:39 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0233454788 | $111.79 |
| 04-06 20:47 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.032 | $3.53 |
| 03-29 00:17 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $404.91 |
| 03-29 00:17 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.52 |
| 03-29 00:16 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.59 |
| 03-29 00:15 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0273 | $2.73 |