knkjnkj90
0x15612cf04b825af7fed50013f71e857da09a58c0
- Realised P&L
- $3.67
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $1.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 19? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $1.48 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.46at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on April 24?
- +$8.43at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 22?
- +$6.46at 0.750Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 23?
- +$5.78at 0.754Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 21?
- +$2.28at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.48 |
| 09-17 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 09-12 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.12 |
| 09-07 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 09-06 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.47 |
| 08-21 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.41 |
| 08-17 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.46 |
| 08-17 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.49 |
| 08-17 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.15 |
| 08-05 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.42 |
| 08-02 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.24 |
| 07-31 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.21 |
| 07-30 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.06 |
| 07-29 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 07-29 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or below on July 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.14 |