messithegoatt
0x1555e4fcacace46f123c4d114057d26ab7e7e4dc
- Realised P&L
- $29.13
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $572.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.90at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?
- +$3.62at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?
- +$3.47at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30?
- +$2.93at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?
- +$2.81at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.73 | $18.02 |
| 08-04 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7979748886 | $19.70 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.74 | $18.27 |
| 08-03 20:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $13.33 |
| 08-03 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.79 | $19.51 |
| 08-03 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.81 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.79 | $19.51 |
| 08-01 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.94 |
| 08-01 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.03 |
| 07-29 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.45 |
| 07-29 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.90 |
| 07-29 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.19 |
| 07-27 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.94 |