PolyBot

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Traders

ipar777

0x154e0eff147f978aafecb37f72d41c87eb79e1ab

Realised P&L
$-81.66
Volume
$106.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.770$3.9k+$1.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.230$1.2k−$1.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? · Yes0.7901.000$1.27+$0.27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · Yes0.5500.535$0.97−$0.03
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October? · Yes0.1340.041$0.31−$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.8500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 14? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:00Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-08 18:00Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-08 17:59Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October?BUY0.1339999922$1.00
05-12 18:14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.849999983$5.00
05-12 18:11Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 14?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
05-12 18:10Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?SELL0.996$199.80
05-11 09:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?BUY0.92$5.00
05-11 09:47Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$200.00
02-17 21:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.994$792.17
02-16 11:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$792.97
10-03 09:58Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?BUY0.996$40.00
10-03 09:58Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?BUY0.829999956$10.00
06-24 14:01Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?BUY0.52$1.00
06-24 14:01Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?BUY0.66$1.00
06-24 14:01US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?BUY0.0149999854$1.00