PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AmericaFirst1

0x154ca10dfee317dcfb9337788db7da858cba658e

Realised P&L
$12.0k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
5,210
Open portfolio
$11.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,210
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner · 1win0.6010.775$1.9k+$424.25
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage · JD Gaming0.6991.000$1.4k+$430.71
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · JD Gaming0.7411.000$1.3k+$331.92
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7940.474$1.1k−$734.64
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? · No0.7500.905$307.55+$52.80
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.9000.895$298.32−$1.67
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.695$265.18+$24.74
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.6380.940$229.67+$73.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · No0.8340.775$215.19−$16.27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.185$209.85−$504.77
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%? · No0.8190.785$167.83−$7.27
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? · No0.7180.885$162.47+$30.59
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.8510.946$156.48+$15.73
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.8290.925$151.03+$15.64
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.8290.930$150.79+$16.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:23Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.609999999$133.19
10-08 13:23Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5899999999$328.49
10-08 13:23Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6199999995$400.87
10-08 13:23Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5924947443$600.59
10-08 12:56LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.6986027803$999.99
10-08 12:17LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7594856411$664.60
10-08 11:58Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.7984262325$352.09
10-08 11:58Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.8199999996$189.00
10-08 11:57Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.803557456$1.1k
10-08 11:04LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6434726128$999.99
10-08 10:12LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6506131201$999.99
10-08 09:48LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.76$875.49
10-08 09:37LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.49$198.94
10-08 09:33LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6298156529$999.99
10-08 06:52WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 8?BUY0.9299999979$17.98